The global population is expected to increase by two to three billion
people by 2050, a projection raising serious concerns about sustainable
development, biodiversity and food security, but new research led by
Princeton University shows that more efficient use of nitrogen
fertilizers may address both environmental issues and crop production.
Today,
more than half of the world's population is nourished by food grown
with fertilizers containing synthetic nitrogen, which is needed to
produce high crop yields. Plants take the nitrogen they need to grow,
and the excess is left in the ground, water and air. This results in
significant emissions of nitrous oxide, a potent greenhouse and
ozone-depleting gas, and other forms of nitrogen pollution, including
chemical over-enrichment of lakes and rivers and contamination of
drinking water.
Given the world's growing food demands, nitrogen
fertilizer use is likely to increase. Using too much fertilizer,
however, will lead to increased pollution of waterways and the air.
What's needed is a more efficient use of fertilizer, which will benefit
both food production and the environment, according to a study published
in Nature.
Led by Princeton, the paper is among the first to
globally analyze "nitrogen use efficiency" — a measure of the amount of
nitrogen a plant takes in to grow versus what is left behind as
pollution. Looking at fertilizer and crop harvest data in regions like
the United States, Western Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa, the
researchers examined how policies and market conditions have influenced
farmers' use of nitrogen fertilizers over the past five decades.
Based
on their findings, the researchers suggest specific nitrogen use
targets based on region and crop type to meet 2050 global food-demand
projections and environmental stewardship goals. Currently, the global
average for nitrogen use efficiency is approximately .4, meaning 40
percent of the total nitrogen added to cropland goes into the harvested
crop while 60 percent is lost to the environment. To reduce
environmental impacts, the researchers urge an increase in global
average nitrogen use efficiency to 70 percent so only 30 percent of the
total nitrogen is lost to the environment. To achieve this goal, the
researchers provide examples of specific targets in 2050 for various
regions that take into account differences in ecological and
socioeconomic conditions.
These targets could be used in tandem
with the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals, the researchers
write, which were released in September.
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