By 2050 climate change will increase the groundwater deficit even
more for four economically important aquifers in the western U.S.,
reports a University of Arizona-led team of scientists.
The new
report is the first to integrate scientists' knowledge about groundwater
in the U.S. West with scientific models that show how climate change
will affect the region.
"We wanted to know, 'What are the
expectations for increases and decreases in groundwater as we go forward
in this century?'" said lead author Thomas Meixner, a UA professor and
associate department head of hydrology and water resources. "In the
West, 40 percent of the water comes directly from groundwater."
Climate
models predict that in general, wet regions will become wetter and dry
regions will become drier. The Southwest is expected to become drier and
hotter.
"Aquifers in the southern tier of the West are all
expected to see slight-to-significant decreases in recharge as the
climate warms," Meixner said.
Groundwater is already being
withdrawn from the aquifers of California's Central Valley, the central
and southern portions of the High Plains and Arizona's San Pedro faster
than the groundwater is being recharged.
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