Electric cars that exist today could be widely adopted despite range
constraints, replacing about 90 percent of existing cars, and could make
a major dent in the nation's carbon emissions, new research indicates.
The
study, which found that a wholesale replacement of conventional
vehicles with electric ones is possible today and could play a
significant role in meeting climate change mitigation goals, was
published today in the journal Nature Energy by Jessika Trancik, the
Atlantic Richfield Career Development Associate Professor in Energy
Studies at MIT's Institute for Data, Systems, and Society (IDSS), along
with graduate student Zachary Needell, postdoc James McNerney, and
recent graduate Michael Chang SM '15.
"Roughly 90 percent of the
personal vehicles on the road daily could be replaced by a low-cost
electric vehicle available on the market today, even if the cars can
only charge overnight," Trancik says, "which would more than meet
near-term U.S. climate targets for personal vehicle travel." Overall,
when accounting for the emissions today from the power plants that
provide the electricity, this would lead to an approximately 30 percent
reduction in emissions from transportation. Deeper emissions cuts would
be realized if power plants decarbonize over time.
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